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Wiretap
Prediction market news, trader signal, and context around the events moving Polymarket.
Wiretap connects trader activity with the stories and catalysts behind the move.
Polymarket copy trading
Top trader guide
How to follow traders
Hot Markets
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
62¢
+12.8%
+
US recession by end of 2026?
8¢
+1.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
22¢
+2.1%
+
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
7¢
+0.5%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
48¢
-0.1%
+
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
63¢
-1.0%
+
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
64¢
-1.0%
+
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
47¢
-1.5%
+
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 2026
6¢
+0.0%
+
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027
11¢
+1.0%
+
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
20¢
-16.0%
+
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D)
72¢
+4.0%
+
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
3¢
+0.2%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
14¢
-3.0%
+
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
28¢
+5.0%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2027
23¢
-4.5%
+
Macron out by...?
December 31, 2026
4¢
-1.7%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Flvio Bolsonaro
85¢
+0.4%
+
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
37¢
+3.0%
+
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
500M
13¢
+0.9%
+
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman
54¢
-4.2%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
40¢
+2.0%
+
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027
9¢
+0.5%
+
French election called by...?
December 31, 2026
9¢
+4.0%
+
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
9¢
+8.1%
+
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
62¢
+12.8%
+
US recession by end of 2026?
8¢
+1.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
22¢
+2.1%
+
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
7¢
+0.5%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
48¢
-0.1%
+
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
63¢
-1.0%
+
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
64¢
-1.0%
+
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
47¢
-1.5%
+
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 2026
6¢
+0.0%
+
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027
11¢
+1.0%
+
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
20¢
-16.0%
+
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D)
72¢
+4.0%
+
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
3¢
+0.2%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
14¢
-3.0%
+
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
28¢
+5.0%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2027
23¢
-4.5%
+
Macron out by...?
December 31, 2026
4¢
-1.7%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Flvio Bolsonaro
85¢
+0.4%
+
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
37¢
+3.0%
+
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
500M
13¢
+0.9%
+
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman
54¢
-4.2%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
40¢
+2.0%
+
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027
9¢
+0.5%
+
French election called by...?
December 31, 2026
9¢
+4.0%
+
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
9¢
+8.1%
+
ANALYSIS
• CarbonCopy Team • 2 min read
Iran in Crisis, America at War — as Conflict Enters Day Three
$529 million was bet on when the bombs would fall. Now markets are pricing what comes next.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
US and Iran Return to Geneva With $270 Million Riding on What Comes Next
Nearly $270 million says there is a roughly two-in-five chance the US hits Iran by spring. Negotiations start Tuesday. Iran's IRGC launched Hormuz war games hours before.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
DOGE Claimed $214 Billion in Savings. Markets Price It Under $50 Billion.
A year of prediction market data shows traders never bought the efficiency revolution. They were right.
TRADING
• Carboncopy Team • 5 min read
The complete beginner's guide to copy trading
Learn how Polymarket copy trading works, why the infrastructure around it matters, and how CarbonCopy shines above the rest
More posts coming soon. Interested in writing for us? Reach out.