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Wiretap
Prediction market news, trader signal, and context around the events moving Polymarket.
Wiretap connects trader activity with the stories and catalysts behind the move.
Polymarket copy trading
Top trader guide
How to follow traders
Hot Markets
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
10¢
-1.0%
+
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
26¢
-1.0%
+
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
34¢
-5.6%
+
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
21¢
+2.0%
+
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
51¢
+9.0%
+
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31¢
+0.0%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39¢
+0.4%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7¢
-1.2%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
10¢
+0.0%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
27¢
-0.5%
+
English Premier League Winner
Man City
57¢
+17.0%
+
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
83¢
-3.5%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Gavin Newsom
18¢
+0.5%
+
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
16¢
-0.4%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44¢
+9.0%
+
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh
88¢
-1.5%
+
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
57¢
-2.5%
+
NBA Western Conference Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
68¢
+9.5%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
39¢
+0.0%
+
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
21¢
-4.0%
+
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Colorado Avalanche
25¢
+3.1%
+
UEFA Champions League Winner
Bayern Munich
36¢
+4.0%
+
NBA Eastern Conference Champion
Boston Celtics
40¢
+0.4%
+
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
21¢
+3.0%
+
Colombia Presidential Election
Candidate M
50¢
+0.0%
+
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
10¢
-1.0%
+
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
26¢
-1.0%
+
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
34¢
-5.6%
+
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
21¢
+2.0%
+
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
51¢
+9.0%
+
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31¢
+0.0%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39¢
+0.4%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7¢
-1.2%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
10¢
+0.0%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
27¢
-0.5%
+
English Premier League Winner
Man City
57¢
+17.0%
+
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
83¢
-3.5%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Gavin Newsom
18¢
+0.5%
+
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
16¢
-0.4%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44¢
+9.0%
+
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh
88¢
-1.5%
+
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
57¢
-2.5%
+
NBA Western Conference Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
68¢
+9.5%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
39¢
+0.0%
+
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
21¢
-4.0%
+
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Colorado Avalanche
25¢
+3.1%
+
UEFA Champions League Winner
Bayern Munich
36¢
+4.0%
+
NBA Eastern Conference Champion
Boston Celtics
40¢
+0.4%
+
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
21¢
+3.0%
+
Colombia Presidential Election
Candidate M
50¢
+0.0%
+
ANALYSIS
• CarbonCopy Team • 2 min read
Iran in Crisis, America at War — as Conflict Enters Day Three
$529 million was bet on when the bombs would fall. Now markets are pricing what comes next.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
US and Iran Return to Geneva With $270 Million Riding on What Comes Next
Nearly $270 million says there is a roughly two-in-five chance the US hits Iran by spring. Negotiations start Tuesday. Iran's IRGC launched Hormuz war games hours before.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
DOGE Claimed $214 Billion in Savings. Markets Price It Under $50 Billion.
A year of prediction market data shows traders never bought the efficiency revolution. They were right.
TRADING
• Carboncopy Team • 5 min read
The complete beginner's guide to copy trading
Learn how Polymarket copy trading works, why the infrastructure around it matters, and how CarbonCopy shines above the rest
More posts coming soon. Interested in writing for us? Reach out.