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Wiretap
Prediction market news, trader signal, and context around the events moving Polymarket.
Wiretap connects trader activity with the stories and catalysts behind the move.
Polymarket copy trading
Top trader guide
How to follow traders
Hot Markets
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
24¢
-1.3%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6¢
-0.4%
+
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
20¢
-10.0%
+
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9¢
+0.0%
+
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
80¢
+9.7%
+
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
6¢
-0.3%
+
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 31
69¢
+16.0%
+
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
21¢
-0.5%
+
MegaETH airdrop by...?
December 31, 2026
21¢
-9.0%
+
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
74¢
+17.5%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
37¢
+3.9%
+
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
1¢
-1.2%
+
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
0¢
-0.3%
+
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
81¢
-1.0%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
5¢
-0.9%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
54¢
+2.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20¢
+4.3%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
55¢
-8.5%
+
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
43¢
+0.0%
+
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
300M
43¢
-4.5%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
22¢
-1.9%
+
World Cup Winner
France
19¢
+0.8%
+
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
5¢
-6.0%
+
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
56¢
+0.0%
+
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
15¢
+2.5%
+
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
24¢
-1.3%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6¢
-0.4%
+
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
20¢
-10.0%
+
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9¢
+0.0%
+
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
80¢
+9.7%
+
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
6¢
-0.3%
+
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 31
69¢
+16.0%
+
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
21¢
-0.5%
+
MegaETH airdrop by...?
December 31, 2026
21¢
-9.0%
+
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
74¢
+17.5%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
37¢
+3.9%
+
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
1¢
-1.2%
+
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
0¢
-0.3%
+
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
81¢
-1.0%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
5¢
-0.9%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
54¢
+2.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20¢
+4.3%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
55¢
-8.5%
+
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
43¢
+0.0%
+
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
300M
43¢
-4.5%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
22¢
-1.9%
+
World Cup Winner
France
19¢
+0.8%
+
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
5¢
-6.0%
+
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
56¢
+0.0%
+
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
15¢
+2.5%
+
ANALYSIS
• CarbonCopy Team • 2 min read
Iran in Crisis, America at War — as Conflict Enters Day Three
$529 million was bet on when the bombs would fall. Now markets are pricing what comes next.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
US and Iran Return to Geneva With $270 Million Riding on What Comes Next
Nearly $270 million says there is a roughly two-in-five chance the US hits Iran by spring. Negotiations start Tuesday. Iran's IRGC launched Hormuz war games hours before.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
DOGE Claimed $214 Billion in Savings. Markets Price It Under $50 Billion.
A year of prediction market data shows traders never bought the efficiency revolution. They were right.
TRADING
• Carboncopy Team • 5 min read
The complete beginner's guide to copy trading
Learn how Polymarket copy trading works, why the infrastructure around it matters, and how CarbonCopy shines above the rest
More posts coming soon. Interested in writing for us? Reach out.