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Wiretap
Curated signals and market-moving news.
Hot Markets
NBA MVP
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
90¢
-8.0%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10¢
-0.4%
+
NBA Western Conference Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
49¢
-2.5%
+
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
42¢
-3.0%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
49¢
+0.0%
+
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
36¢
-1.0%
+
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
30¢
+1.0%
+
Paris Mayoral Election
Emmanuel Grgoire
68¢
-11.0%
+
UEFA Champions League Winner
Arsenal
27¢
+0.0%
+
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Pter Magyar
62¢
+4.0%
+
The Masters - Winner
Scottie Scheffler
20¢
-3.0%
+
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Colorado Avalanche
22¢
+1.3%
+
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
13¢
-1.0%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
25¢
-1.3%
+
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$600M
71¢
+0.0%
+
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
One Battle After Another
76¢
+2.0%
+
French Ligue 1 Winner
PSG
87¢
+4.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
21¢
-1.9%
+
English Premier League Winner
Arsenal
81¢
+4.0%
+
Starmer out by...?
December 31
69¢
+2.0%
+
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Spain
15¢
-1.1%
+
NBA Eastern Conference Champion
Boston Celtics
35¢
+1.3%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
46¢
-3.0%
+
La Liga Winner
Barcelona
80¢
+13.0%
+
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
16¢
-2.5%
+
NBA MVP
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
90¢
-8.0%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10¢
-0.4%
+
NBA Western Conference Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
49¢
-2.5%
+
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
42¢
-3.0%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
49¢
+0.0%
+
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
36¢
-1.0%
+
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
30¢
+1.0%
+
Paris Mayoral Election
Emmanuel Grgoire
68¢
-11.0%
+
UEFA Champions League Winner
Arsenal
27¢
+0.0%
+
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Pter Magyar
62¢
+4.0%
+
The Masters - Winner
Scottie Scheffler
20¢
-3.0%
+
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Colorado Avalanche
22¢
+1.3%
+
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
13¢
-1.0%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
25¢
-1.3%
+
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$600M
71¢
+0.0%
+
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
One Battle After Another
76¢
+2.0%
+
French Ligue 1 Winner
PSG
87¢
+4.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
21¢
-1.9%
+
English Premier League Winner
Arsenal
81¢
+4.0%
+
Starmer out by...?
December 31
69¢
+2.0%
+
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Spain
15¢
-1.1%
+
NBA Eastern Conference Champion
Boston Celtics
35¢
+1.3%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
46¢
-3.0%
+
La Liga Winner
Barcelona
80¢
+13.0%
+
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
16¢
-2.5%
+
ANALYSIS
• CarbonCopy Team • 2 min read
Iran in Crisis, America at War — as Conflict Enters Day Three
$529 million was bet on when the bombs would fall. Now markets are pricing what comes next.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
US and Iran Return to Geneva With $270 Million Riding on What Comes Next
Nearly $270 million says there is a roughly two-in-five chance the US hits Iran by spring. Negotiations start Tuesday. Iran's IRGC launched Hormuz war games hours before.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
DOGE Claimed $214 Billion in Savings. Markets Price It Under $50 Billion.
A year of prediction market data shows traders never bought the efficiency revolution. They were right.
TRADING
• Carboncopy Team • 5 min read
The complete beginner's guide to copy trading
Learn how Polymarket copy trading works, why the infrastructure around it matters, and how CarbonCopy shines above the rest
More posts coming soon. Interested in writing for us? Reach out.
